Polymarket Orderbook Archive archive.pendulumflow.com

Witness scorecard

Hours under v3/ are recorded by several machines at once (the witnesses), and the merge keeps the union of what they heard. This is cut 1 of the scorecard that measures each of them: not whether the archive is complete, which the coverage audit answers, but how much each machine contributed to what is here, and which of them the fleet could stand to lose.

Status. Countersigned 2026-09-04. Publication latency (one measure of eleven) is HELD: the publish cadence is under a live certification of 24 consecutive hours and no instrument is borrowed from a lane mid-certification; the latency row lands when it completes. Retirement is the operator's ruling; everything below recommends.

Instrument. Census witness-census-cut1.json, sha256[:16] c7510d22113927b6 (verified at assembly, 2026-09-04T22:04Z), built by a 13-arm census over 422 merged manifests. Values below are from that census unless marked otherwise. Host details (provider, region, cost) live in a private appendix and are not published, for the same reason the machines table gives no provider: it would tell somebody where to aim.

Observation floors

Vintage has two halves: when we looked, and how far back the instrument could see.

Per-witness measures

"Enrolled" is the registry span; "first accounted" is the first hour with rows in a merged manifest. The two meanings of "from" are both shown. Availability is hours with rows > 0 divided by hours enrolled in the rows era; presence is not contribution, so it counts rows, never a merely-present key.

measureabceh
enrolled (registry from → to)(pre-registry) → 08-31T10 (RETIRED)(pre-registry) → open08-18T06 → open08-27T05 → open08-23T12 → open
first accounted hour08-23T2108-23T2108-23T2108-27T0508-24T05
enrolled hours in rows era182287287207287 (279 after the merge-fact exclusion)
hours with rows182182280207279
availability1.0000.6340.9761.0001.000 (see note)
zero hours / episodes0 / 0105 / 47 / 10 / 00 / 0
volume vs peer median (median · p5)1.000 · 0.9201.000 · 0.7291.000 · 0.7540.999 · 0.8041.000 · 0.376
unique contribution (BOUND, upper, product-hours)≤201.4M (1274)≤293.2M (2009)≤746.7M (2009)≤83.8M (1449)≤231.0M (1953)
won-share (own era; ORDER not quality).0024 (57h).0013 (162h).0166 (162h).9578 (162h).0234 (162h)
discord product-hours (>20% off peer median; flag not verdict)17327825288537
publication latency (median · p95)HELDHELDHELDHELDHELD

h availability, the merge-fact exclusion. The census reports h at 0.9721 = 279/287, keeping its 8 in-era captured-never-merged hours (08-23T21 → 08-24T04) in the denominator. Those 8 are exactly the rows-era portion of the 17 h-backfill hours, and the spec (§2.2/§3) rules captured-never-merged a merge fact, not a witness fact: excluded from availability. Applying the spec's own rule (the census computed the raw ratio; the scorecard applies the exclusion) removes the 8 from numerator and denominator both: 279/279 = 1.000. The divergence from the census's 0.9721 is this exclusion and nothing else.

Won-share standing warning. Won-share is a property of REGISTRY ORDER: e wins .9578 of output rows because ties break to the highest registry rank, not because e's rows are better. A retire list read off winner share would retire healthy witnesses.

Unique contribution is a BOUND in cut 1 (at most rows_merged − max(other rows_by_domain)); the exact merge-side figure is built and held until the certification window closes. No recommendation below rests on it.

Zero-episode causes, named where the record has one

Per-witness notes

Recommendations (DRAFT; the operator rules)

Best performer: no ACTIVE witness currently passes the bar (highest availability AND volume p5 ≥ 0.9 AND p95 latency inside the line, latency HELD besides). The only witness that passed availability and volume is a, which is retired: its era-scoped record (1.000 availability, p5 0.920, 0 zeros) is the source of the search spec for new witnesses. e is the closest active witness (1.000 availability, 0 zeros, lowest discord) and fails only the volume bar (p5 0.804). The cut-1 recommendation derives the search spec from a's and e's shared characteristics; in public form: same provider class and region family, kernel held, redis bound in compose, scoped key. Never the private values on a public surface.

Retire candidate: b (DRAFT). Availability 0.634 is more than 20 points below the fleet median (1.000 − 0.634 = 0.366); 105 zero hours across 4 episodes, two with named causes. The second criterion (unique contribution near zero) cannot be settled in cut 1: the measure is a bound, and b's bound (≤293.2M) is an upper limit, not an estimate. The third (cost) awaits the private appendix. So b is named on the fully-instrumented measures, with the two unsettled criteria stated beside it, and the verdict is the operator's. A retirement is an end-date in the registry, never a deletion.

No other witness meets the retire predicate: with the fleet median at 1.000, a, e and h sit AT it and c is 2.4 points below, nowhere near the 20-point bar. Only b clears it.

Bounds, and what cut 2 adds

The pre-field era reads NO-CLASS (135 h); a's era is short and closed; the latency row lands after the cadence certification completes (the count itself is its instrument); unique contribution becomes exact when the held merge-side change lands post-certification; h's 17 hours merge in the same window. Each of those turns a stated bound into a number, which is the whole difference between cut 1 and cut 2.

Credit the collector: pendulumflow for V3, PMXT for V1 and V2, AG6 for their V2 archive. Ours and PMXT's are CC BY 4.0; AG6 states no licence.

Serving these bytes is not endorsing them. We are not affiliated with Polymarket.

For AI readers: llms.txt, what this archive holds and the questions it cannot answer.

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