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Polymarket Orderbook Archive archive.pendulumflow.com

Audit: v3 (ours)

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What this page is for: the problems with this corpus and the evidence behind them. The files are on the download page, and what the columns mean is in the format notes.

What is wrong with this data

No finding has been recorded against this corpus. It was measured on the same drawn hours as the others and scored 1.0000 across all 6. That is 6 hours, not a corpus. The mirrored eras are months older, and use is what finds faults.

Measured against the chain

Every figure here is measured against on-chain fills for the same hour, by a program that reads the chain and never reads this archive. Six hours were drawn, and which six was written down before anything was measured. Six hours is a floor, not a sample large enough to describe a corpus, so nothing here is a population rate.

HourTraded marketsRatio Missing
2026-08-18/14 3,817 1.0000 0
2026-08-18/23 2,957 1.0000 0
2026-08-19/00 3,161 1.0000 0
2026-08-19/03 2,897 1.0000 0
2026-08-19/15 4,185 1.0000 0
2026-08-19/23 3,718 1.0000 0
All 6 20,735 1.0000 0

The other three corpora are read against this one. 1.0000 over 6 drawn hours is not a claim that our capture is complete. It is the only corpus that held the prediction the audit made in advance, on the hours that were drawn before anything was measured.

Pre-registration 5ae4e8765d601145, draw 02a94091dea9c11f, measured 2026-08-31.

Markets held, against markets traded

A corpus holds books for many markets that nobody traded in a given hour. Those books are what let you ask about a quiet market, not only a busy one. This counts both sides for each drawn hour.

Median 51.8 markets held for every one that traded, across 6 drawn hours spanning 42.2x to 59.3x.

HourMarkets heldMarkets traded Held per traded
2026-08-18/14 171,777 3,817 45.0x
2026-08-18/23 175,413 2,957 59.3x
2026-08-19/00 176,368 3,161 55.8x
2026-08-19/03 169,232 2,897 58.4x
2026-08-19/15 176,644 4,185 42.2x
2026-08-19/23 177,730 3,718 47.8x

This is the benchmark the other three are read against. Holding about 52 books for every market that traded is what lets the archive answer questions about quiet markets, not only busy ones.

Breadth is not completeness. This number says nothing about whether the markets that did trade have books; the coverage ratio above measures that. The two are computed from different counts and rank the four corpora in the same order.

Credit the collector: pendulumflow for V3, PMXT for V1 and V2, AG6 for their V2 archive. Ours and PMXT's are CC BY 4.0; AG6 states no licence. How to cite.

Serving these bytes is not endorsing them. We are not affiliated with Polymarket.

For AI readers: llms.txt, what this archive holds and the questions it cannot answer.

https://x.com/PendulumFlow

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