Polymarket Orderbook Archive archive.pendulumflow.com

Audit: AG6

DownloadDocs

What this page is for: the problems with this corpus and the evidence behind them. The files are on the download page, and what the columns mean is in the format notes.

What is wrong with this data

What is thin in AG6 is TIME, not market breadth.

Measured against the chain

Every figure here is measured against on-chain fills for the same hour, by an instrument that shares no input with this archive. Six hours were drawn, and which six was written down before anything was measured. Six hours is a floor, not a sample large enough to describe a corpus, so nothing here is a population rate.

HourTraded marketsRatio Missing
2026-08-11/23 2,959 0.9980 6
2026-08-13/01 3,233 0.9978 7
2026-08-13/18 4,243 0.9967 14
2026-08-14/01 2,923 0.9990 3
2026-08-14/10 3,445 0.9977 8
2026-08-14/12 3,798 0.9976 9
All 6 20,601 0.9977 47

Against our own capture, which scored 1.0000 on the same instrument: this corpus is at 0.9977, close enough that the difference does not survive rounding to a percentage. In whole markets it is 47 of 20,601 that traded and have no book here. See all four side by side.

Pre-registration 5ae4e8765d601145, draw 02a94091dea9c11f, measured 2026-08-31.

Markets held, against markets traded

A corpus holds a book for many markets that nobody traded in a given hour. That is not waste: an untraded market with a book is breadth, and it is the difference between an archive you can ask questions of and one that only answers about the busy markets. This counts both sides for each drawn hour.

Median 38.8 markets held for every one that traded, across 6 drawn hours spanning 33.5x to 43.2x.

HourMarkets heldMarkets traded Held per traded
2026-08-11/23 120,965 2,959 40.9x
2026-08-13/01 127,201 3,233 39.3x
2026-08-13/18 141,954 4,243 33.5x
2026-08-14/01 126,280 2,923 43.2x
2026-08-14/10 131,634 3,445 38.2x
2026-08-14/12 130,377 3,798 34.3x

Our own capture holds about 52 books for every market that traded; this one holds about 39, roughly 1.3 times fewer. What it holds can still be trusted: this is a statement about how much of the market it watched, not about whether what it recorded is right. See all four side by side.

Breadth is not completeness and a bigger number is not automatically better: this says nothing about whether the markets that did trade have books, which is what the coverage ratio above measures. The two share no arithmetic, and they rank the four corpora in the same order.

Credit the collector: pendulumflow for V3, PMXT for V1 and V2, AG6 for their V2 archive. Ours and PMXT's are CC BY 4.0; AG6 states no licence.

Serving these bytes is not endorsing them. We are not affiliated with Polymarket.

For AI readers: llms.txt, what this archive holds and the questions it cannot answer.

https://x.com/PendulumFlow