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Polymarket Orderbook Archive archive.pendulumflow.com

Audit: AG6

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What this page is for: the problems with this corpus and the evidence behind them. The files are on the download page, and what the columns mean is in the format notes.

What is wrong with this data

AG6 is missing hours, and a few of the markets that traded.

Measured against the chain

Every figure here is measured against on-chain fills for the same hour, by a program that reads the chain and never reads this archive. Six hours were drawn, and which six was written down before anything was measured. Six hours is a floor, not a sample large enough to describe a corpus, so nothing here is a population rate.

HourTraded marketsRatio Missing
2026-08-11/23 2,959 0.9980 6
2026-08-13/01 3,233 0.9978 7
2026-08-13/18 4,243 0.9967 14
2026-08-14/01 2,923 0.9990 3
2026-08-14/10 3,445 0.9977 8
2026-08-14/12 3,798 0.9976 9
All 6 20,601 0.9977 47

Our own capture scored 1.0000 on the same check. This corpus is at 0.9977. Both round to 100%. In whole markets, 47 of the 20,601 that traded have no book here. See all four side by side.

Pre-registration 5ae4e8765d601145, draw 02a94091dea9c11f, measured 2026-08-31.

Markets held, against markets traded

A corpus holds books for many markets that nobody traded in a given hour. Those books are what let you ask about a quiet market, not only a busy one. This counts both sides for each drawn hour.

Median 38.8 markets held for every one that traded, across 6 drawn hours spanning 33.5x to 43.2x.

HourMarkets heldMarkets traded Held per traded
2026-08-11/23 120,965 2,959 40.9x
2026-08-13/01 127,201 3,233 39.3x
2026-08-13/18 141,954 4,243 33.5x
2026-08-14/01 126,280 2,923 43.2x
2026-08-14/10 131,634 3,445 38.2x
2026-08-14/12 130,377 3,798 34.3x

Our own capture holds about 52 books for every market that traded; this one holds about 39, roughly 1.3 times fewer. What it holds can still be trusted: this is a statement about how much of the market it watched, not about whether what it recorded is right. See all four side by side.

Breadth is not completeness. This number says nothing about whether the markets that did trade have books; the coverage ratio above measures that. The two are computed from different counts and rank the four corpora in the same order.

Credit the collector: pendulumflow for V3, PMXT for V1 and V2, AG6 for their V2 archive. Ours and PMXT's are CC BY 4.0; AG6 states no licence. How to cite.

Serving these bytes is not endorsing them. We are not affiliated with Polymarket.

For AI readers: llms.txt, what this archive holds and the questions it cannot answer.

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