Polymarket Orderbook Archive archive.pendulumflow.com

Hour audit: 2026-09-25T16

back to the files for this hour · how the archive is audited

Every number on this page is a stored measurement read from this hour's own records: its manifest.json, its witness statistics sidecar, and the corpus attestation. Nothing here is computed from the served bytes at the time you load the page, so no line below claims the bytes are correct. The digest and the one command that checks them are printed instead.

1 finding

The report

POLYMARKET ORDERBOOK ARCHIVE — HOUR AUDIT
hour 2026-09-25T16 · corpus v3 · verdict AUDIT PASS* (1 finding)

COVERAGE    minutes present 60/60 · first event 2026-09-25T16:00:00.000016185+00:00 · last event 2026-09-25T16:59:59.999932893+00:00
VOLUME      122,784,773 rows · 1,303,688,104 bytes (1.21 GiB) · 7 products, all holding rows
WITNESSES   hik — 3 machines contributed rows
            captured  h: 122,323,093 · i: 122,310,973 · k: 117,601,771   (each machine's own feed; these overlap and do not sum to the file)
            supplied  h: 12,961,195 (10.56%) · i: 5,660,499 (4.61%) · k: 104,163,079 (84.83%)   (rows of the merged file that came from it; these partition it)
            5 expected (cghik), 2 contributed nothing: c, g
INTEGRITY   sha256 3983288de44e5022f68cb394a47eb460bb92825a102dfe537a51036a6da86176
            the corpus checksum ledger names this file with the same digest
            joined 122,785,001 to merged 122,784,773, minus 228 (minus 0.0002%)
            boundary drops 228 · guard cache
SIDECARS    none: this hour's manifest has no v31 key. The v3.1 sidecars are optional, and hours before them have none
MARKETS     not measured (the per-hour market census runs on the capture host and its output is not published per hour)
HISTORY     merged 2026-09-25T22:55:35Z as hik
            layout union-event-sorted-v1
            re-merges not measured (the merge ledger records the merge that produced this file, not the history of attempts)
            supersessions not measured (supersession is recorded per corpus in the storage registry, not in the hour manifest)
CHECKS      7/8 pass, 1 finding
              PASS    all products present
              PASS    row counts reconcile
              PASS    byte ranges tile the file
              PASS    the merge delta is explained
              FINDING a machine expected this hour contributed nothing
              PASS    the checksum ledger names this file
              PASS    the hour is whole
              PASS    a boundary guard ran
UPSTREAM    status feed unobserved for this hour. Our incident register was last checked against the venue's feed at 2026-09-23T20:35Z, before this hour ended, so nothing has looked yet. This is a could-not-look and never an all-clear.

The words in this report

Each line in the CHECKS block states what was found, not what was hoped for: a check that passes is named for the thing that is true, and a check that does not is renamed to the thing that is wrong. So FINDING never sits beside a sentence asserting the opposite of the one below it.

The report above is fixed-width text, so nothing in it can be clicked. The same terms are linked here instead. Its verdict is a statement about minutes and nothing else. The row it reports comes from this hour's own manifest and its witness-statistics sidecar, and the completeness line comes from the corpus attestation. The gap between the joined and merged counts is deduplication, not loss, and the boundary drops are the duplicates discarded at the seam with the hour before. Where the history line names a supersession, this hour was rebuilt to a better state after it was first published. The precision is the timestamp resolution these files carry.

Detail

The same records, per product. A product holding no rows renders its zero rather than being dropped: dropped and empty are indistinguishable to a reader, and only one of them is a defect. A cell reading not meas. is one nothing published, which is a third thing again and never a zero.

The class column is the merger's own verdict for that product, and it is keyed to CONTRIBUTION rather than presence. FULL means every machine expected to be capturing this hour delivered rows for that product; PARTIAL means some did and some did not; SINGLE-BY-DESIGN means only one machine was ever expected, and SINGLE-BY-DEFECT means several were and one delivered. So PARTIAL here is a statement about the fleet, not about the product being damaged or truncated: the rows that are present are whole.

PRODUCT                     rows          bytes   row groups  sha256
best_bid_ask          10,703,736    120,206,732         0-40  793fa5ebe9841ee3d291964e2ee6ee8efe5aff5e1b9e9152bedd13685046d8d9
book                     569,234     58,037,468        41-43  9319874e10c9b140bf85b72d5165f2e9ac894b34ab95e61181733d92f51fd4d6
last_trade_price          62,873      3,602,082        44-44  136742cbc39143b71558635fa4bf6c9617cfd7df168c1e387521018970eb9641
market_resolved            1,212        181,453        45-45  db29a0fc39ce87f8812b5cb428cca112ea9e77ee9646c2481e85c7b93cfdaa90
new_market                 1,100        125,535        46-46  f97cf2317786a233e4e7499ca0fa270ad7de9ca6db98aab4bcb9bd481f3f3bf3
price_change         111,443,690  1,120,031,872       47-472  c0bf5923412f9452558a64c5e6c7df01eb66cf88d43d0a33dd936011af9dc4f9
tick_size_change           2,928        107,851      473-473  49e58a924800cd03055b8ae79b50bc9bd3657b6e6d7831633c8c3a2d9d61da07

EVENT MIX                  count    share
price_change         111,443,690   90.76%
best_bid_ask          10,703,736    8.72%
book                     569,234    0.46%
last_trade_price          62,873    0.05%
tick_size_change           2,928   <0.01%
market_resolved            1,212   <0.01%
new_market                 1,100   <0.01%

PER PRODUCT               joined        merged   boundary  exception mkts             class
best_bid_ask          10,703,748    10,703,736         12          50,690           PARTIAL
book                     569,242       569,234          8         208,981           PARTIAL
last_trade_price          62,874        62,873          1           4,092           PARTIAL
market_resolved            1,213         1,212          1           1,128           PARTIAL
new_market                 1,100         1,100          0             826           PARTIAL
price_change         111,443,896   111,443,690        206          87,731           PARTIAL
tick_size_change           2,928         2,928          0             732           PARTIAL

ARRIVAL SKEW      m           rows          won      p50      p90      p99      max  unmeasurable  interpretation
best_bid_ask      h     10,703,049    1,064,330     19ms     35ms    161ms    44.8s             0  transport_latency_assumed
best_bid_ask      i     10,702,378      469,167     21ms     31ms    131ms     4.1s             0  transport_latency_assumed
best_bid_ask      k     10,266,972    9,170,239     13ms     23ms    136ms     6.9s             0  transport_latency_assumed
book              h        129,210       16,857     24ms     85ms   8.3min   100.2d             0  book_staleness
book              i        144,514       18,874     26ms    48.5s     7.0d   118.8d             0  book_staleness
book              k        556,499      533,503  19.5min     3.8d    34.1d   118.8d             0  book_staleness
last_trade_price  h         62,785        7,434     21ms     66ms    385ms    11.2s             0  transport_latency_assumed
last_trade_price  i         62,611        2,608     25ms    145ms    999ms     2.9s             0  transport_latency_assumed
last_trade_price  k         60,536       52,831     14ms     40ms    210ms     2.4s             0  transport_latency_assumed
market_resolved   h          1,127          194     36ms    20.6s    54.9s    58.0s             0  transport_latency_assumed
market_resolved   i          1,128           50     25ms    111ms    49.8s    57.4s             0  transport_latency_assumed
market_resolved   k          1,118          968     16ms     60ms    48.3s   2.4min             0  transport_latency_assumed
new_market        h            826          299    134ms    20.9s    33.7s   1.9min             0  transport_latency_assumed
new_market        i            826          299    113ms    18.3s    33.1s   1.4min             0  transport_latency_assumed
new_market        k            826          502     77ms    10.4s    29.2s   1.3min             0  transport_latency_assumed
price_change      h    111,423,168   11,871,768     19ms     41ms    215ms    46.1s             0  transport_latency_assumed
price_change      i    111,396,588    5,169,348     21ms     40ms    271ms     4.1s             0  transport_latency_assumed
price_change      k    106,713,052   94,402,574     13ms     26ms    150ms     7.2s             0  transport_latency_assumed
tick_size_change  h          2,928          313     19ms     33ms     96ms    13.9s             0  transport_latency_assumed
tick_size_change  i          2,928          153     21ms     29ms     85ms    241ms             0  transport_latency_assumed
tick_size_change  k          2,768        2,462     13ms     22ms    139ms    232ms             0  transport_latency_assumed

Captured and supplied are different numbers

Captured is how many rows each machine's own feed carried. Redundant capture means these OVERLAP, heavily and on purpose, so they do not partition the file and their sum is larger than it. Two machines each capturing nearly every event is the archive working, not double counting.

Supplied is how many rows of the merged file actually came from that machine. This one does partition: it sums to the file's row count exactly. But it is decided by the merge's tie-break, so a machine can capture almost everything and supply almost nothing. Read alone, either number tells a false story about the fleet, which is why both are printed and neither is called "the witness share".

What the skew columns mean

Arrival skew is the receipt timestamp minus the venue timestamp, in milliseconds. For six of the seven products the sidecar interprets it as transport latency, and marks that interpretation assumed: it rests on the venue timestamp being emit time, which we cannot verify from outside.

book is not latency and must not be read as latency. Its venue timestamp is the last time the book changed, so the sidecar interprets it as book staleness and warns in its own note that large values mean a quiet book rather than slow transport. Its maximum runs to weeks for that reason. This is why the table above gives a row per product per machine and never one figure for the hour: percentiles do not average, and these seven do not measure the same quantity.

Check it yourself

The digest above is a claim. This is how you refuse to take our word for it:

curl -O https://archive.pendulumflow.com/v3/2026-09-25/16/2026-09-25T16.parquet
sha256sum 2026-09-25T16.parquet
# compare with the sha256 line in the report above

A range digest certifies bytes. That those bytes are the product the manifest names comes from the manifest, which is why both are published and both are checkable.

Credit the collector: pendulumflow for V3, PMXT for V1 and V2, AG6 for their V2 archive. Ours and PMXT's are CC BY 4.0; AG6 states no licence. How to cite.

Serving these bytes is not endorsing them. We are not affiliated with Polymarket.

For AI readers: llms.txt, what this archive holds and the questions it cannot answer.

https://x.com/PendulumFlow

Join the Pendulum Flow Discord: other people who build on prediction-market data, comparing notes and sharing tooling and findings.